The High Roller

The house record

Every play graded Value or better is booked the first time it qualifies, at the Kalshi price available then. One unit = one contract. Settled against Kalshi's result; closing-line value compares our price with the last price before kickoff.

81
Settled picks
47–34
Won–lost
+10.64u
Units after fees
+30.3%
Return on risk
+5.3 pts
Avg closing-line value

492 more picks are waiting on results.

Units won

Calibration

Dots on the dashed line mean our probabilities came true as often as we said.

By tier

PicksHitROI
Strong3762%+43.9%
Value3847%+6.2%
Lock6100%+89.0%

By league

PicksHitROI
NHL875%+47.4%
WNBA4654%+17.8%
College Football2463%+69.3%
MLB333%−48.8%

By market

PicksHitROI
Spread3759%+33.7%
Total3956%+28.1%
Moneyline560%+23.0%

Latest settled picks

PickEntryFairCloseResultUnits
Edmonton −1.5
Edmonton vs Anaheim
22¢32.9%35¢Won+0.77
Edmonton +2.5
Edmonton vs Anaheim
83¢86.1%84¢Won+0.16
Under 7.5 goals
Edmonton vs Anaheim
55¢60.7%65¢Won+0.43
Under 5.5 goals
Edmonton vs Anaheim
27¢31.2%31¢Lost-0.28
Under 6.5 goals
Edmonton vs Anaheim
35¢43.0%44¢Lost-0.37
Edmonton +1.5
Edmonton vs Anaheim
66¢76.9%74¢Won+0.32
Las Vegas +6.5
Las Vegas vs Golden State
60¢65.8%68¢Won+0.38
Las Vegas +3.5
Las Vegas vs Golden State
49¢56.9%56¢Won+0.49
Las Vegas −1.5
Las Vegas vs Golden State
36¢39.0%45¢Lost-0.38
Golden State +1.5
Las Vegas vs Golden State
56¢60.2%55¢Won+0.42
Las Vegas +9.5
Las Vegas vs Golden State
63¢69.6%77¢Won+0.35
Over 168.5 pts
Las Vegas vs Golden State
13¢15.9%24¢Lost-0.14
Over 162.5 pts
Las Vegas vs Golden State
24¢32.4%36¢Won+0.75
Golden State +3.5
Las Vegas vs Golden State
63¢67.0%62¢Won+0.35
Under 153.5 pts
Las Vegas vs Golden State
39¢41.8%42¢Lost-0.41
Las Vegas −3.5
Las Vegas vs Golden State
26¢32.2%39¢Lost-0.27
Las Vegas +12.5
Las Vegas vs Golden State
73¢76.0%85¢Won+0.26
Under 162.5 pts
Las Vegas vs Golden State
60¢65.0%65¢Lost-0.62
Under 156.5 pts
Las Vegas vs Golden State
47¢50.0%51¢Lost-0.49
Las Vegas to win
Las Vegas vs Golden State
40¢44.1%48¢Lost-0.42
Las Vegas +1.5
Las Vegas vs Golden State
43¢49.7%49¢Lost-0.45
Las Vegas to win
Las Vegas vs Golden State
39¢44.1%47¢Lost-0.41
Golden State to win
Las Vegas vs Golden State
53¢55.9%53¢Won+0.45
Over 165.5 pts
Las Vegas vs Golden State
19¢23.5%30¢Lost-0.20
Over 159.5 pts
Las Vegas vs Golden State
30¢41.8%43¢Won+0.69
Over 156.5 pts
Las Vegas vs Golden State
41¢50.0%50¢Won+0.57
Over 153.5 pts
Las Vegas vs Golden State
46¢58.2%59¢Won+0.52
Over 150.5 pts
Las Vegas vs Golden State
55¢63.8%66¢Won+0.43
Over 147.5 pts
Las Vegas vs Golden State
64¢69.1%73¢Won+0.34
Las Vegas −9.5
Las Vegas vs Golden State
10¢12.5%20¢Lost-0.11
Las Vegas −6.5
Las Vegas vs Golden State
17¢21.8%28¢Lost-0.18
Florida International −17.5
New Mexico St. vs Florida International
22¢24.1%22¢Won+0.77
Florida International −14.5
New Mexico St. vs Florida International
27¢30.9%27¢Won+0.72
New Mexico St. −7.5
New Mexico St. vs Florida International
14¢16.5%14¢Lost-0.15
Florida International −13.5
New Mexico St. vs Florida International
31¢34.5%31¢Won+0.67
New Mexico St. +2.5
New Mexico St. vs Florida International
34¢36.6%34¢Lost-0.36
Florida International −11.5
New Mexico St. vs Florida International
35¢39.3%37¢Won+0.63
Florida International −9.5
New Mexico St. vs Florida International
42¢44.8%43¢Won+0.56
Florida International −10.5
New Mexico St. vs Florida International
36¢41.9%39¢Won+0.62
Florida International −16.5
New Mexico St. vs Florida International
25¢27.1%26¢Won+0.74
Under 39.5 pts
New Mexico St. vs Florida International
31¢33.3%31¢Won+0.67
Florida International −7.5
New Mexico St. vs Florida International
44¢48.7%45¢Won+0.54
New York Y +1.5
Tampa Bay vs New York Y
73¢76.0%73¢Won+0.26
Over 52.5 pts
Jacksonville St. vs Kennesaw St.
41¢44.0%39¢Won+0.57
Jacksonville St. −7.5
Jacksonville St. vs Kennesaw St.
34¢37.4%34¢Lost-0.36
Jacksonville St. −5.5
Jacksonville St. vs Kennesaw St.
41¢43.7%42¢Lost-0.43
Jacksonville St. −4.5
Jacksonville St. vs Kennesaw St.
43¢45.8%43¢Lost-0.45
Over 49.5 pts
Jacksonville St. vs Kennesaw St.
48¢51.8%48¢Won+0.50
Over 51.5 pts
Jacksonville St. vs Kennesaw St.
42¢46.6%43¢Won+0.56
Over 55.5 pts
Jacksonville St. vs Kennesaw St.
32¢36.0%31¢Lost-0.34
Jacksonville St. −9.5
Jacksonville St. vs Kennesaw St.
30¢32.8%30¢Lost-0.31
Over 47.5 pts
Jacksonville St. vs Kennesaw St.
54¢56.9%55¢Won+0.44
Jacksonville St. −11.5
Jacksonville St. vs Kennesaw St.
25¢27.5%25¢Lost-0.26
Over 46.5 pts
Jacksonville St. vs Kennesaw St.
56¢59.4%56¢Won+0.42
Jacksonville St. −10.5
Jacksonville St. vs Kennesaw St.
26¢29.5%26¢Lost-0.27
Over 48.5 pts
Jacksonville St. vs Kennesaw St.
51¢54.3%52¢Won+0.47
Under 8.5 goals
Pittsburgh vs Washington
55¢63.0%78¢Won+0.43
Winnipeg +1.5
Colorado vs Winnipeg
56¢59.6%59¢Won+0.42
Under 182.5 pts
New York vs Atlanta
69¢72.9%77¢Lost-0.70
Under 179.5 pts
New York vs Atlanta
61¢67.8%71¢Lost-0.63
Under 176.5 pts
New York vs Atlanta
54¢63.8%64¢Lost-0.56
Under 173.5 pts
New York vs Atlanta
45¢57.8%57¢Lost-0.47
Under 170.5 pts
New York vs Atlanta
38¢49.6%49¢Lost-0.40
Under 167.5 pts
New York vs Atlanta
31¢41.4%42¢Lost-0.33
Under 158.5 pts
New York vs Atlanta
13¢15.3%22¢Lost-0.14
Over 176.5 pts
New York vs Atlanta
28¢33.2%36¢Won+0.71
Over 173.5 pts
New York vs Atlanta
33¢42.2%43¢Won+0.65
Over 170.5 pts
New York vs Atlanta
40¢50.4%51¢Won+0.58
Over 167.5 pts
New York vs Atlanta
46¢58.6%58¢Won+0.52
Over 158.5 pts
New York vs Atlanta
68¢72.5%78¢Won+0.30
Atlanta −3.5
New York vs Atlanta
42¢45.2%46¢Lost-0.44
Atlanta +6.5
New York vs Atlanta
73¢76.6%73¢Won+0.26
Atlanta +3.5
New York vs Atlanta
63¢68.5%63¢Won+0.35
Atlanta to win
New York vs Atlanta
52¢58.1%55¢Won+0.46
Over 164.5 pts
New York vs Atlanta
54¢63.9%65¢Won+0.44
Atlanta to win
New York vs Atlanta
53¢58.1%56¢Won+0.45
Under 161.5 pts
New York vs Atlanta
17¢21.9%28¢Lost-0.18
Over 161.5 pts
New York vs Atlanta
61¢67.5%72¢Won+0.37
Atlanta +1.5
New York vs Atlanta
56¢61.8%56¢Won+0.42
Chicago WS +1.5
Cleveland vs Chicago WS
66¢69.0%66¢Lost-0.68
Under 7.5 runs
Cleveland vs Chicago WS
47¢49.8%48¢Lost-0.49